XMR · Convergence Trade
Profit Calculator
This spread does not cover its own costs
The spread is 0.06%, but entry and exit cost 0.18% of the position. The trade is a loss at entry regardless of how the spread moves afterwards. Reduce the size, or pick another pair.
Three scenarios: the current spread 0.06% compresses to the target (0% = full convergence). Sized at $10,000 per leg.
| If spread converges to↓ target spread | 0% | 0.50% | 1.00% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross profit | +$6.06 | -$43.94 | -$93.94 |
| Round-trip fees | −$20.00 | −$20.00 | −$20.00 |
| Slippage(loading orderbook…) | — | — | — |
| Funding drag(est. 1h hold) | +$1.84 | +$1.84 | +$1.84 |
| Net potential | -$12.10 | -$62.10 | -$112.10 |
⏱ Hold time (estimated from history)
Exit target: spread compresses to the median 0.05% (full convergence to 0 is rare — holding to zero usually makes no sense).
Based on 64 comparable episodes over 1D. Check the position roughly every ~1h.
Estimate of historical spread behavior — not a guarantee of the future.
Spread Statistics
Window: 24h · 284 samples
Polymarket(dex)- Mark Price
- $527.7000
- Exchange Ticker
- XMR-USD
- Taker / Maker
- 0.04% / 0.0125%
- Funding APR(1h)
- -151.16%
- OI
- $134.15K
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Long
BloFin(cex)- Mark Price
- $528.0200
- Exchange Ticker
- XMR-USDT
- Taker / Maker
- 0.06% / 0.02%
- Funding APR(8h)
- +9.91%
- OI
- $2.50M
- 24h Vol
- $5.81M
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Short284 long / 284 short samples · 2 days · auto-refresh every 30s