USELESS · Convergence Trade
Profit Calculator
This spread does not cover its own costs
The spread is 0.15%, but entry and exit cost 0.22% of the position. The trade is a loss at entry regardless of how the spread moves afterwards. Reduce the size, or pick another pair.
Three scenarios: the current spread 0.15% compresses to the target (0% = full convergence). Sized at $10,000 per leg.
| If spread converges to↓ target spread | 0% | 0.50% | 1.00% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross profit | +$15.24 | -$34.76 | -$84.76 |
| Round-trip fees | −$22.00 | −$22.00 | −$22.00 |
| Slippage(loading orderbook…) | — | — | — |
| Funding drag(est. 1h hold) | +$0.26 | +$0.26 | +$0.26 |
| Net potential | -$6.50 | -$56.50 | -$106.50 |
⏱ Hold time (estimated from history)
Exit target: spread compresses to the median 0.13% (full convergence to 0 is rare — holding to zero usually makes no sense).
Based on 59 comparable episodes over 1D. Check the position roughly every ~1h.
Estimate of historical spread behavior — not a guarantee of the future.
Spread Statistics
Window: 24h · 263 samples
Live spread — order book
on size $10,000Rebuilt from stored order books (last 3h) and updated every ~15s while the page is open. IN is the spread to open the position, OUT is the spread to close it; positive means the trade works in your favour. Both are walked for your position size, so they already include what depth costs you.
Hotcoin(cex)- Mark Price
- $0.2842
- Exchange Ticker
- USELESSUSDT
- Taker / Maker
- 0.06% / 0.02%
- Funding APR(4h)
- -12.05%
- OI
- $1.48M
- 24h Vol
- $8.02M
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Long
Binance Futures(cex)- Mark Price
- $0.2846
- Exchange Ticker
- USELESSUSDT
- Taker / Maker
- 0.05% / 0.02%
- Funding APR(4h)
- +10.96%
- OI
- $21.52M
- 24h Vol
- $45.88M
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Short231 long / 229 short samples · 1 day · auto-refresh every 30s