UMA · Convergence Trade
Sparse data (34% of expected samples) — statistics may be unreliable
Forward-fill used for gaps in mark-price history. Smaller window or current spread reading more trustworthy than long-range stats.
Profit Calculator
This spread does not cover its own costs
The spread is 0.04%, but entry and exit cost 0.26% of the position. The trade is a loss at entry regardless of how the spread moves afterwards. Reduce the size, or pick another pair.
Three scenarios: the current spread 0.04% compresses to the target (0% = full convergence). Sized at $10,000 per leg.
| If spread converges to↓ target spread | 0% | 0.50% | 1.00% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross profit | +$4.25 | -$45.75 | -$95.75 |
| Round-trip fees | −$26.00 | −$26.00 | −$26.00 |
| Slippage(loading orderbook…) | — | — | — |
| Funding drag(est. 1h hold) | −$0.00 | −$0.00 | −$0.00 |
| Net potential | -$21.75 | -$71.75 | -$121.75 |
⏱ Hold time (estimated from history)
The current spread is already near its typical level (median 0.06%) — most of the convergence has happened, little potential left.
Estimate of historical spread behavior — not a guarantee of the future.
Spread Statistics
Window: 24h · 138 samples
Live spread — order book
on size $10,000Rebuilt from stored order books (last 3h) and updated every ~15s while the page is open. IN is the spread to open the position, OUT is the spread to close it; positive means the trade works in your favour. Both are walked for your position size, so they already include what depth costs you.
WEEX(cex)- Mark Price
- $0.4203
- Exchange Ticker
- UMAUSDT
- Taker / Maker
- 0.08% / 0.02%
- Funding APR(4h)
- +5.55%
- OI
- $3.92M
- 24h Vol
- $1.01M
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Long
Binance Futures(cex)- Mark Price
- $0.4205
- Exchange Ticker
- UMAUSDT
- Taker / Maker
- 0.05% / 0.02%
- Funding APR(4h)
- +5.55%
- OI
- $1.92M
- 24h Vol
- $2.90M
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Short97 long / 99 short samples · 2 days · auto-refresh every 30s