TRUMP · Convergence Trade
Profit Calculator
Slippage is not in these figures yet — the order book is still loading. Breakeven is understated and tradeability overstated until it arrives; wait for the refresh before judging the trade.
Three scenarios: the current spread 0.28% compresses to the target (0% = full convergence). Sized at $10,000 per leg.
| If spread converges to↓ target spread | 0% | 0.50% | 1.00% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross profit | +$28.27 | -$21.73 | -$71.73 |
| Round-trip fees | −$12.00 | −$12.00 | −$12.00 |
| Slippage(loading orderbook…) | — | — | — |
| Funding drag(est. 1h hold) | +$0.43 | +$0.43 | +$0.43 |
| Net potential | +$16.70 | -$33.30 | -$83.30 |
⏱ Hold time (estimated from history)
Exit target: spread compresses to the median 0.12% (full convergence to 0 is rare — holding to zero usually makes no sense).
Based on 27 comparable episodes over 1D. Check the position roughly every ~1h.
Estimate of historical spread behavior — not a guarantee of the future.
Spread Statistics
Window: 24h · 279 samples
Variational(dex)- Mark Price
- $1.0540
- Exchange Ticker
- TRUMP
- Taker / Maker
- 0% / 0%
- Funding APR(4h)
- -27.07%
- OI
- $515.17K
- 24h Vol
- $956.40K
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Long
Phemex(cex)- Mark Price
- $1.0570
- Exchange Ticker
- TRUMPUSDT
- Taker / Maker
- 0.06% / 0.01%
- Funding APR(4h)
- +10.96%
- OI
- $1.07M
- 24h Vol
- $1.44M
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Short252 long / 253 short samples · 2 days · auto-refresh every 30s