TMF · Convergence Trade
Sparse data (32% of expected samples) — statistics may be unreliable
Forward-fill used for gaps in mark-price history. Smaller window or current spread reading more trustworthy than long-range stats.
Profit Calculator
This spread does not cover its own costs
The spread is 0.08%, but entry and exit cost 0.19% of the position. The trade is a loss at entry regardless of how the spread moves afterwards. Reduce the size, or pick another pair.
Three scenarios: the current spread 0.08% compresses to the target (0% = full convergence). Sized at $10,000 per leg.
| If spread converges to↓ target spread | 0% | 0.50% | 1.00% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross profit | +$7.80 | -$42.20 | -$92.20 |
| Round-trip fees | −$21.00 | −$21.00 | −$21.00 |
| Slippage(loading orderbook…) | — | — | — |
| Funding drag(est. 1h hold) | +$1.76 | +$1.76 | +$1.76 |
| Net potential | -$11.44 | -$61.44 | -$111.44 |
⏱ Hold time (estimated from history)
The current spread is already near its typical level (median 0.16%) — most of the convergence has happened, little potential left.
Estimate of historical spread behavior — not a guarantee of the future.
Spread Statistics
Window: 24h · 157 samples
Live spread — order book
on size $10,000Rebuilt from stored order books (last 3h) and updated every ~15s while the page is open. IN is the spread to open the position, OUT is the spread to close it; positive means the trade works in your favour. Both are walked for your position size, so they already include what depth costs you.
TxFlow(dex)- Mark Price
- $25.6400
- Exchange Ticker
- TMF
- Taker / Maker
- 0.045% / 0.015%
- Funding APR(1h)
- -154.31%
- OI
- $620.49
- 24h Vol
- $15.19K
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Long
Hotcoin(cex)- Mark Price
- $25.6600
- Exchange Ticker
- TMFUSDT
- Taker / Maker
- 0.06% / 0.02%
- Funding APR(8h)
- -0.45%
- OI
- $227.55K
- 24h Vol
- $1.00M
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Short93 long / 91 short samples · 2 days · auto-refresh every 30s