SIREN · Convergence Trade
Sparse data (32% of expected samples) — statistics may be unreliable
Forward-fill used for gaps in mark-price history. Smaller window or current spread reading more trustworthy than long-range stats.
Profit Calculator
This spread does not cover its own costs
The spread is 0.17%, but entry and exit cost 0.22% of the position. The trade is a loss at entry regardless of how the spread moves afterwards. Reduce the size, or pick another pair.
Three scenarios: the current spread 0.17% compresses to the target (0% = full convergence). Sized at $10,000 per leg.
| If spread converges to↓ target spread | 0% | 0.50% | 1.00% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross profit | +$17.35 | -$32.65 | -$82.65 |
| Round-trip fees | −$23.00 | −$23.00 | −$23.00 |
| Slippage(loading orderbook…) | — | — | — |
| Funding drag(est. 1h hold) | +$0.95 | +$0.95 | +$0.95 |
| Net potential | -$4.70 | -$54.70 | -$104.70 |
⏱ Hold time (estimated from history)
The current spread is already near its typical level (median 0.52%) — most of the convergence has happened, little potential left.
Estimate of historical spread behavior — not a guarantee of the future.
Spread Statistics
Window: 24h · 134 samples
Live spread — order book
on size $10,000Rebuilt from stored order books (last 3h) and updated every ~15s while the page is open. IN is the spread to open the position, OUT is the spread to close it; positive means the trade works in your favour. Both are walked for your position size, so they already include what depth costs you.
KuCoin(cex)- Mark Price
- $0.02306
- Exchange Ticker
- SIRENUSDTM
- Taker / Maker
- 0.06% / 0.02%
- Funding APR(4h)
- +10.96%
- OI
- $709.32K
- 24h Vol
- $296.26K
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Long
Bybit(cex)- Mark Price
- $0.02310
- Exchange Ticker
- SIRENUSDT
- Taker / Maker
- 0.055% / 0.02%
- Funding APR(4h)
- +93.83%
- OI
- $1.69M
- 24h Vol
- $558.53K
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Short91 long / 95 short samples · 1 day · auto-refresh every 30s