PENGU · Convergence Trade
Profit Calculator
This spread does not cover its own costs
The spread is 0.10%, but entry and exit cost 0.16% of the position. The trade is a loss at entry regardless of how the spread moves afterwards. Reduce the size, or pick another pair.
Three scenarios: the current spread 0.10% compresses to the target (0% = full convergence). Sized at $10,000 per leg.
| If spread converges to↓ target spread | 0% | 0.50% | 1.00% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross profit | +$10.31 | -$39.69 | -$89.69 |
| Round-trip fees | −$16.00 | −$16.00 | −$16.00 |
| Slippage(loading orderbook…) | — | — | — |
| Funding drag(est. 1h hold) | +$0.33 | +$0.33 | +$0.33 |
| Net potential | -$5.36 | -$55.36 | -$105.36 |
⏱ Hold time (estimated from history)
Exit target: spread compresses to the median 0.07% (full convergence to 0 is rare — holding to zero usually makes no sense).
Based on 65 comparable episodes over 1D. Check the position roughly every ~1h.
Estimate of historical spread behavior — not a guarantee of the future.
Spread Statistics
Window: 24h · 281 samples
KuCoin(cex)- Mark Price
- $0.005821
- Exchange Ticker
- PENGUUSDTM
- Taker / Maker
- 0.06% / 0.02%
- Funding APR(4h)
- -33.31%
- OI
- $3.50M
- 24h Vol
- $14.80M
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Long
MEXC(cex)- Mark Price
- $0.005827
- Exchange Ticker
- PENGU_USDT
- Taker / Maker
- 0.02% / 0%
- Funding APR(4h)
- -4.38%
- OI
- $5.15M
- 24h Vol
- $2.12M
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Short262 long / 257 short samples · 2 days · auto-refresh every 30s