M · Convergence Trade
Profit Calculator
Slippage is not in these figures yet — the order book is still loading. Breakeven is understated and tradeability overstated until it arrives; wait for the refresh before judging the trade.
Three scenarios: the current spread 0.18% compresses to the target (0% = full convergence). Sized at $10,000 per leg.
| If spread converges to↓ target spread | 0% | 0.50% | 1.00% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross profit | +$18.19 | -$31.81 | -$81.81 |
| Round-trip fees | −$10.00 | −$10.00 | −$10.00 |
| Slippage(loading orderbook…) | — | — | — |
| Funding drag(est. 1h hold) | +$0.90 | +$0.90 | +$0.90 |
| Net potential | +$9.09 | -$40.91 | -$90.91 |
⏱ Hold time (estimated from history)
Exit target: spread compresses to the median 0.15% (full convergence to 0 is rare — holding to zero usually makes no sense).
Based on 43 comparable episodes over 1D. Check the position roughly every ~1h.
Estimate of historical spread behavior — not a guarantee of the future.
Spread Statistics
Window: 24h · 205 samples
Live spread — order book
on size $10,000Rebuilt from stored order books (last 3h) and updated every ~15s while the page is open. IN is the spread to open the position, OUT is the spread to close it; positive means the trade works in your favour. Both are walked for your position size, so they already include what depth costs you.
Binance Futures(cex)- Mark Price
- $1.0524
- Exchange Ticker
- MUSDT
- Taker / Maker
- 0.05% / 0.02%
- Funding APR(4h)
- +10.96%
- OI
- $4.41M
- 24h Vol
- $1.34M
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Long
Variational(dex)- Mark Price
- $1.0543
- Exchange Ticker
- M
- Taker / Maker
- 0% / 0%
- Funding APR(4h)
- +89.60%
- OI
- $55.28K
- 24h Vol
- $23.31K
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Short147 long / 148 short samples · 1 day · auto-refresh every 30s