LINK · Convergence Trade
Profit Calculator
This spread does not cover its own costs
The spread is 0.07%, but entry and exit cost 0.13% of the position. The trade is a loss at entry regardless of how the spread moves afterwards. Reduce the size, or pick another pair.
Three scenarios: the current spread 0.07% compresses to the target (0% = full convergence). Sized at $10,000 per leg.
| If spread converges to↓ target spread | 0% | 0.50% | 1.00% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross profit | +$6.66 | -$43.34 | -$93.34 |
| Round-trip fees | −$14.00 | −$14.00 | −$14.00 |
| Slippage(loading orderbook…) | — | — | — |
| Funding drag(est. 1h hold) | +$1.37 | +$1.37 | +$1.37 |
| Net potential | -$5.97 | -$55.97 | -$105.97 |
⏱ Hold time (estimated from history)
Exit target: spread compresses to the median 0.04% (full convergence to 0 is rare — holding to zero usually makes no sense).
Based on 31 comparable episodes over 1D. Check the position roughly every ~1h.
Estimate of historical spread behavior — not a guarantee of the future.
Spread Statistics
Window: 24h · 281 samples
Live spread — order book
on size $10,000Rebuilt from stored order books (last 3h) and updated every ~15s while the page is open. IN is the spread to open the position, OUT is the spread to close it; positive means the trade works in your favour. Both are walked for your position size, so they already include what depth costs you.
Polymarket(dex)- Mark Price
- $12.2750
- Exchange Ticker
- LINK-USD
- Taker / Maker
- 0.04% / 0.0125%
- Funding APR(1h)
- -63.83%
- OI
- $72.17K
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Long
Reya(dex)- Mark Price
- $12.2832
- Exchange Ticker
- LINKRUSDPERP
- Taker / Maker
- 0.03% / 0.01%
- Funding APR(1h)
- +56.13%
- OI
- $3.12K
- 24h Vol
- $0.00
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Short281 long / 279 short samples · 2 days · auto-refresh every 30s