LINK · Convergence Trade
Profit Calculator
This spread does not cover its own costs
The spread is 0.15%, but entry and exit cost 0.36% of the position. The trade is a loss at entry regardless of how the spread moves afterwards. Reduce the size, or pick another pair.
Three scenarios: the current spread 0.15% compresses to the target (0% = full convergence). Sized at $10,000 per leg.
| If spread converges to↓ target spread | 0% | 0.50% | 1.00% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross profit | +$15.30 | -$34.70 | -$84.70 |
| Round-trip fees | −$12.50 | −$12.50 | −$12.50 |
| Slippage(loading orderbook…) | — | — | — |
| Funding drag(est. 1h hold) | −$0.00 | −$0.00 | −$0.00 |
| Net potential | -$20.37 | -$70.37 | -$120.37 |
⏱ Hold time (estimated from history)
The current spread is already near its typical level (median 0.21%) — most of the convergence has happened, little potential left.
Estimate of historical spread behavior — not a guarantee of the future.
Spread Statistics
Window: 24h · 284 samples
Live spread — order book
on size $10,000Rebuilt from stored order books (last 3h) and updated every ~15s while the page is open. IN is the spread to open the position, OUT is the spread to close it; positive means the trade works in your favour. Both are walked for your position size, so they already include what depth costs you.
Polymarket(dex)- Mark Price
- $14.3810
- Exchange Ticker
- LINK-USD
- Taker / Maker
- 0.04% / 0.0125%
- Funding APR(1h)
- +10.96%
- OI
- $131.39K
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Long
Arcus(dex)- Mark Price
- $14.4030
- Exchange Ticker
- LINK-USD
- Taker / Maker
- 0.0225% / 0%
- Funding APR(1h)
- +10.96%
- OI
- $427.74K
- 24h Vol
- $203.76K
284 long / 284 short samples · 2 days · auto-refresh every 30s