ARM · Convergence Trade
Sparse data (32% of expected samples) — statistics may be unreliable
Forward-fill used for gaps in mark-price history. Smaller window or current spread reading more trustworthy than long-range stats.
Profit Calculator
Slippage is not in these figures yet — the order book is still loading. Breakeven is understated and tradeability overstated until it arrives; wait for the refresh before judging the trade.
Three scenarios: the current spread 0.21% compresses to the target (0% = full convergence). Sized at $10,000 per leg.
| If spread converges to↓ target spread | 0% | 0.50% | 1.00% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross profit | +$20.75 | -$29.25 | -$79.25 |
| Round-trip fees | −$20.00 | −$20.00 | −$20.00 |
| Slippage(loading orderbook…) | — | — | — |
| Funding drag(est. 1h hold) | +$2.23 | +$2.23 | +$2.23 |
| Net potential | +$2.98 | -$47.02 | -$97.02 |
⏱ Hold time (estimated from history)
The current spread is already near its typical level (median 0.23%) — most of the convergence has happened, little potential left.
Estimate of historical spread behavior — not a guarantee of the future.
Spread Statistics
Window: 24h · 145 samples
Live spread — order book
on size $10,000Rebuilt from stored order books (last 3h) and updated every ~15s while the page is open. IN is the spread to open the position, OUT is the spread to close it; positive means the trade works in your favour. Both are walked for your position size, so they already include what depth costs you.
Coinbase International(cex)- Mark Price
- $298.7400
- Exchange Ticker
- ARM-PERP
- Taker / Maker
- 0.04% / 0.02%
- Funding APR(1h)
- -53.47%
- OI
- $58.23K
- 24h Vol
- $67.78K
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Long
Bitget(cex)- Mark Price
- $299.3600
- Exchange Ticker
- ARMUSDT
- Taker / Maker
- 0.06% / 0.02%
- Funding APR(8h)
- +141.57%
- OI
- $2.12M
- 24h Vol
- $1.67M
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Short92 long / 89 short samples · 2 days · auto-refresh every 30s