ARIA · Convergence Trade
Profit Calculator
This spread does not cover its own costs
The spread is 0.59%, but entry and exit cost 0.77% of the position. The trade is a loss at entry regardless of how the spread moves afterwards. Reduce the size, or pick another pair.
Three scenarios: the current spread 0.59% compresses to the target (0% = full convergence). Sized at $10,000 per leg.
| If spread converges to↓ target spread | 0% | 0.50% | 1.00% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross profit | +$58.62 | +$8.62 | -$41.38 |
| Round-trip fees | −$22.00 | −$22.00 | −$22.00 |
| Slippage(loading orderbook…) | — | — | — |
| Funding drag(est. 1h hold) | +$0.26 | +$0.26 | +$0.26 |
| Net potential | -$18.23 | -$68.23 | -$118.23 |
⏱ Hold time (estimated from history)
Exit target: spread compresses to the median 0.23% (full convergence to 0 is rare — holding to zero usually makes no sense).
Based on 39 comparable episodes over 1D. Check the position roughly every ~1h.
Estimate of historical spread behavior — not a guarantee of the future.
Spread Statistics
Window: 24h · 283 samples
Hotcoin(cex)- Mark Price
- $0.2132
- Exchange Ticker
- ARIAUSDT
- Taker / Maker
- 0.06% / 0.02%
- Funding APR(4h)
- -12.05%
- OI
- $1.86M
- 24h Vol
- $7.44M
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Long
Binance Futures(cex)- Mark Price
- $0.2145
- Exchange Ticker
- ARIAUSDT
- Taker / Maker
- 0.05% / 0.02%
- Funding APR(4h)
- +10.96%
- OI
- $22.15M
- 24h Vol
- $87.76M
253 long / 259 short samples · 2 days · auto-refresh every 30s