4 · Convergence Trade
Sparse data (43% of expected samples) — statistics may be unreliable
Forward-fill used for gaps in mark-price history. Smaller window or current spread reading more trustworthy than long-range stats.
Profit Calculator
This spread does not cover its own costs
The spread is 0.05%, but entry and exit cost 1.14% of the position. The trade is a loss at entry regardless of how the spread moves afterwards. Reduce the size, or pick another pair.
Three scenarios: the current spread 0.05% compresses to the target (0% = full convergence). Sized at $10,000 per leg.
| If spread converges to↓ target spread | 0% | 0.50% | 1.00% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross profit | +$5.30 | -$44.70 | -$94.70 |
| Round-trip fees | −$24.00 | −$24.00 | −$24.00 |
| Slippage(loading orderbook…) | — | — | — |
| Funding drag(est. 1h hold) | −$0.00 | −$0.00 | −$0.00 |
| Net potential | -$108.30 | -$158.30 | -$208.30 |
⏱ Hold time (estimated from history)
The current spread is already near its typical level (median 0.10%) — most of the convergence has happened, little potential left.
Estimate of historical spread behavior — not a guarantee of the future.
Spread Statistics
Window: 24h · 138 samples
Live spread — order book
on size $10,000Rebuilt from stored order books (last 3h) and updated every ~15s while the page is open. IN is the spread to open the position, OUT is the spread to close it; positive means the trade works in your favour. Both are walked for your position size, so they already include what depth costs you.
Hotcoin(cex)- Mark Price
- $0.02266
- Exchange Ticker
- 4USDT
- Taker / Maker
- 0.06% / 0.02%
- Funding APR(4h)
- +10.96%
- OI
- $594.31K
- 24h Vol
- $475.45K
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Long
KuCoin(cex)- Mark Price
- $0.02267
- Exchange Ticker
- 4USDTM
- Taker / Maker
- 0.06% / 0.02%
- Funding APR(4h)
- +10.96%
- OI
- $1.38M
- 24h Vol
- $15.61M
123 long / 122 short samples · 1 day · auto-refresh every 30s