SMCI · Convergence Trade
Sparse data (25% of expected samples) — statistics may be unreliable
Forward-fill used for gaps in mark-price history. Smaller window or current spread reading more trustworthy than long-range stats.
Profit Calculator
Three scenarios: the current spread 0.09% compresses to the target (0% = full convergence). Sized at $10,000 per leg.
| If spread converges to↓ target spread | 0% | 0.5% | 1.0% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross profit | +$9.27 | -$40.73 | -$90.73 |
| Round-trip fees | −$12.00 | −$12.00 | −$12.00 |
| Slippage(loading orderbook…) | — | — | — |
| Funding drag(est. 1h hold) | +$0.07 | +$0.07 | +$0.07 |
| Net potential | -$2.66 | -$52.66 | -$102.66 |
⏱ Hold time (estimated from history)
The current spread is already near its typical level (median 0.11%) — most of the convergence has happened, little potential left.
Estimate of historical spread behavior — not a guarantee of the future.
Spread Statistics
Window: 7d · 885 samples
Live spread — order book
on size $10,000Rebuilt from stored order books (last 3h) and updated every ~15s while the page is open. IN is the spread to open the position, OUT is the spread to close it; positive means the trade works in your favour. Both are walked for your position size, so they already include what depth costs you.
Variational(dex)- Mark Price
- $37.9848
- Exchange Ticker
- SMCI
- Taker / Maker
- 0% / 0%
- Funding APR(8h)
- +10.20%
- OI
- $101.44K
- 24h Vol
- $167.65K
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Long
Bitunix(cex)- Mark Price
- $38.0200
- Exchange Ticker
- SMCIUSDT
- Taker / Maker
- 0.06% / 0.02%
- Funding APR(8h)
- +16.68%
- 24h Vol
- $742.53K
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Short499 long / 848 short samples · 4 days · auto-refresh every 30s