DKNG · Convergence Trade
Sparse data (25% of expected samples) — statistics may be unreliable
Forward-fill used for gaps in mark-price history. Smaller window or current spread reading more trustworthy than long-range stats.
Profit Calculator
Three scenarios: the current spread 0.06% compresses to the target (0% = full convergence). Sized at $10,000 per leg.
| If spread converges to↓ target spread | 0% | 0.5% | 1.0% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross profit | +$5.99 | -$44.01 | -$94.01 |
| Round-trip fees | −$12.00 | −$12.00 | −$12.00 |
| Slippage(loading orderbook…) | — | — | — |
| Funding drag(est. 1h hold) | +$0.12 | +$0.12 | +$0.12 |
| Net potential | -$5.89 | -$55.89 | -$105.89 |
⏱ Hold time (estimated from history)
The current spread is already near its typical level (median 0.09%) — most of the convergence has happened, little potential left.
Estimate of historical spread behavior — not a guarantee of the future.
Spread Statistics
Window: 7d · 550 samples
Live spread — order book
on size $10,000Rebuilt from stored order books (last 3h) and updated every ~15s while the page is open. IN is the spread to open the position, OUT is the spread to close it; positive means the trade works in your favour. Both are walked for your position size, so they already include what depth costs you.
Variational(dex)- Mark Price
- $25.4748
- Exchange Ticker
- DKNG
- Taker / Maker
- 0% / 0%
- Funding APR(8h)
- +0.00%
- OI
- $89.03K
- 24h Vol
- $116.40K
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Long
Hotcoin(cex)- Mark Price
- $25.4900
- Exchange Ticker
- DKNGUSDT
- Taker / Maker
- 0.06% / 0.02%
- Funding APR(8h)
- +10.95%
- OI
- $43.27K
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Short501 long / 498 short samples · 4 days · auto-refresh every 30s