CTR · Convergence Trade
Sparse data (30% of expected samples) — statistics may be unreliable
Forward-fill used for gaps in mark-price history. Smaller window or current spread reading more trustworthy than long-range stats.
Profit Calculator
Three scenarios: the current spread 0.92% compresses to the target (0% = full convergence). Sized at $10,000 per leg.
| If spread converges to↓ target spread | 0% | 0.5% | 1.0% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross profit | +$91.64 | +$41.64 | -$8.36 |
| Round-trip fees | −$12.00 | −$12.00 | −$12.00 |
| Slippage(loading orderbook…) | — | — | — |
| Funding drag(est. 1h hold) | +$0.24 | +$0.24 | +$0.24 |
| Net potential | +$79.88 | +$29.88 | -$20.12 |
⏱ Hold time (estimated from history)
Exit target: spread compresses to the median 0.16% (full convergence to 0 is rare — holding to zero usually makes no sense).
Based on 5 comparable episodes over 1D. Check the position roughly every ~1h.
Estimate of historical spread behavior — not a guarantee of the future.
Spread Statistics
Window: 24h · 151 samples
Live spread — order book
on size $10,000Rebuilt from stored order books (last 3h) and updated every ~15s while the page is open. IN is the spread to open the position, OUT is the spread to close it; positive means the trade works in your favour. Both are walked for your position size, so they already include what depth costs you.
Hotcoin(cex)- Mark Price
- $0.008839
- Exchange Ticker
- CTRUSDT
- Taker / Maker
- 0.06% / 0.02%
- Funding APR(8h)
- +29.16%
- OI
- $94.87K
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Long
Lighter(dex)- Mark Price
- $0.008920
- Exchange Ticker
- CTR-USDC
- Taker / Maker
- 0% / 0%
- Funding APR(1h)
- +49.93%
- OI
- $10.40K
- 24h Vol
- $4.14K
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Short87 long / 86 short samples · 2 days · auto-refresh every 30s