ARX · Convergence Trade
Sparse data (27% of expected samples) — statistics may be unreliable
Forward-fill used for gaps in mark-price history. Smaller window or current spread reading more trustworthy than long-range stats.
Profit Calculator
Three scenarios: the current spread 0.19% compresses to the target (0% = full convergence). Sized at $10,000 per leg.
| If spread converges to↓ target spread | 0% | 0.5% | 1.0% |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gross profit | +$18.90 | -$31.10 | -$81.10 |
| Round-trip fees | −$18.00 | −$18.00 | −$18.00 |
| Slippage(loading orderbook…) | — | — | — |
| Funding drag(est. 1h hold) | +$0.01 | +$0.01 | +$0.01 |
| Net potential | +$0.91 | -$49.09 | -$99.09 |
⏱ Hold time (estimated from history)
Exit target: spread compresses to the median 0.17% (full convergence to 0 is rare — holding to zero usually makes no sense).
Based on 34 comparable episodes over 1D. Check the position roughly every ~1h.
Estimate of historical spread behavior — not a guarantee of the future.
Spread Statistics
Window: 24h · 211 samples
Live spread — order book
on size $10,000Rebuilt from stored order books (last 3h) and updated every ~15s while the page is open. IN is the spread to open the position, OUT is the spread to close it; positive means the trade works in your favour. Both are walked for your position size, so they already include what depth costs you.
- Mark Price
- $0.1058
- Exchange Ticker
- ARX_USDT
- Taker / Maker
- 0.01% / 0%
- Funding APR(4h)
- +10.95%
- OI
- $494.40K
- 24h Vol
- $355.48K
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Long- Mark Price
- $0.1060
- Exchange Ticker
- ARXUSDT
- Taker / Maker
- 0.08% / 0.02%
- Funding APR(4h)
- +11.45%
- OI
- $4.34K
- 24h Vol
- $36.73K
⚠ slippage not modeled (virtual liquidity / RFQ venue)
Trade Short78 long / 192 short samples · 2 days · auto-refresh every 30s